2024年9月雅思写作预测题范文：老年人比例

羊驼雅思为备考雅思的学子们整理了2024年9月雅思考试预测题目，以下是9月雅思写作大作文的预测题和参考范文“老年人比例”，供烤鸭们复习参考。

2024年9月雅思考试预测题完整内容请查看2024年9月雅思考试写作题预测，大作文考题及范文

9月作文预测题目：

It is expected that there will be a higher proportion of older people than that of young people in many countries in the future. Do you think it is a positive or negative development?(预计未来在许多国家，老年人的比例将高于年轻人的比例。你认为这是一个积极的还是消极的发展?)

参考范文：

It is predicted that in many countries the percentage of the elderly population will be higher than the proportion of the young generation. While this will create some problems, I believe that it is on balance a positive development.

On the one hand, the main issue confronting countries with a large elderly population is the cost of providing public health services. As people grow older, they generally need more medical attention. It will, therefore be necessary for governments to impose spending cuts or to raise taxes on incomes or goods in order to provide funding for increased health care. In countries like the USA and the UK, many people fear that they may be faced with large health bills in their old age and have decided to take out private health insurance. They argue that the resources of a welfare state will not be adequate to guarantee good health care when they are old.

On the other hand, I agree with those who argue that the world is changing and fewer young people will be required to work in future. Firstly, advances in technology mean fewer young workers are needed. Robotics technology is still in its infancy, but fewer workers are needed now in many occupations. For example, labour- saving appliances have replaced many workers in the industrial and service sectors. Secondly, as populations age, the number of people will decline. The present world population of about 9 billion is depleting the natural resources on which everyone depends.

In conclusion, although the health costs of caring for an increasingly elderly population will be high initially, an aging population will avoid both the future problems of an army of young jobless people, and also population pressure which will provoke an ecological crisis.

参考译文：

据预测，在许多国家，老年人口的比例将高于年轻一代的比例。虽然这会产生一些问题，但我认为总的来说这是一个积极的发展。

一方面，老年人口众多的国家面临的主要问题是提供公共卫生服务的费用。随着人们年龄的增长，他们通常需要更多的医疗照顾。因此，政府有必要削减开支或提高收入或商品税，以便为增加的医疗保健提供资金。在像美国和英国这样的国家，许多人担心他们可能会在晚年面临巨额医疗账单，并决定购买私人医疗保险。他们认为，福利国家的资源将不足以保证他们年老时获得良好的医疗保健。

另一方面，我同意一些人的观点，他们认为世界正在变化，未来需要工作的年轻人会越来越少。首先，技术的进步意味着需要更少的年轻工人。机器人技术仍处于起步阶段，但现在许多职业需要的工人越来越少。例如，省力电器取代了工业和服务业的许多工人。其次，随着人口老龄化，人口数量将会下降。目前世界上约90亿人口正在耗尽每个人赖以生存的自然资源。

总之，虽然照顾日益老龄化的人口的医疗成本最初会很高，但人口老龄化既可以避免未来大量年轻人失业的问题，也可以避免会引发生态危机的人口压力。